p2pnet news | RIAA News:- Christmas is the time of giving and a lot of people received music players as prezzies.
That, of course, means many will be looking for downloads with the P2P networks as primary sources
But for Warner Music, EMI, Vivendi Universal and Sony BMG’s RIAA, CRIA, ARIA, BPI, IFPI, and their other consumer attack outfits lurking in the dark reaches, Christmas is the time for bullying as they strive desperately to drive music lovers away from the independent music sites and P2P networks into corporate rip-off areas.
Back in October, “Using the corporate press corps as their willing, and unpaid, BS propagators, the Big 4 copyright cartel has been able to create the entirely false impression that people who share music with each other are in clear and imminent danger of being identified and busted,” p2pnet posted, going on:
However, in the US alone, where most of the attention is focused, it’s been estimated that a minimum of sixty million people regularly and routinely share online.
But only 30,000 also men, women and children have been subpoenaed by the RIAA (Recording Industry Association of America), another of the Big 4′s so-called ‘trade’ organisations.
Figure it out.
Said Weegie in a Reader’s Write to the same story:
“For those of you who like numbers, 30,000 out of 60,000,000 is the same as 0.003333%. In comparrison, the chance of being struck by lightning is estimated to 0.000143% in the US.”
To help put the chances of getting an RIAA subpoena —- which, we hasten to point out, is very far removed from any kind of actual court case —- into perspective for Americans, at least, “how afraid should Americans be of terrorist attacks?” wondered Reason Magazine, answering:
Your odds of dying of a specific cause in any year are calculated by dividing that year’s population by the number of deaths by that cause in that year, it explains, continuing:
Your lifetime odds of dying of a particular cause are calculated by dividing the one-year odds by the life expectancy of a person born in that year. For example, in 2003 about 45,000 Americans died in motor accidents out of population of 291,000,000. So, according to the National Safety Council this means your one-year odds of dying in a car accident is about one out of 6500. Therefore your lifetime probability (6500 Ã· 78 years life expectancy) of dying in a motor accident are about one in 83.
What about your chances of dying in an airplane crash? A one-year risk of one in 400,000 and one in 5,000 lifetime risk. What about walking across the street? A one-year risk of one in 48,500 and a lifetime risk of one in 625. Drowning? A one-year risk of one in 88,000 and a one in 1100 lifetime risk. In a fire? About the same risk as drowning. Murder? A one-year risk of one in 16,500 and a lifetime risk of one in 210. What about falling? Essentially the same as being murdered. And the proverbial being struck by lightning? A one-year risk of one in 6.2 million and a lifetime risk of one in 80,000. And what is the risk that you will die of a catastrophic asteroid strike? In 1994, astronomers calculated that the chance was one in 20,000. However, as they’ve gathered more data on the orbits of near earth objects, the lifetime risk has been reduced to one in 200,000 or more.
So, if you’re in the US, how afraid should you be of joining the 30,000 or so people who’ve been deemed RIAA-worthy targets, although only one person has actually seen the inside of a court-room?
You know what they say about statistics and in the meanwhile, common sense is enough to suggest the chances of the Big 4 winkling a particular individual out of sixty million are pretty low indeed, especially when you remember file sharing is a global, not local, event.
Jon Newton – p2pnet
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