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The Net, year 2020

p2pnet news view | P2P:- “You cannot stop a tide with a spoon. Cracking technology will always be several steps ahead of DRM and content will be redistributed on anonymous networks.”

Giulio Prisco, chief executive of Metafuturing Second Life, formerly of CERN

“By 2020, the internet will have enabled the monitoring and manipulation of people by businesses and governments on a scale never before imaginable. Most people will have happily traded their privacy — consciously or unconsciously — for consumer benefits such as increased convenience and lower prices. As a result, the line between marketing and manipulation will have largely disappeared.”

Nicholas Carr, author of the Rough Type blog and “The Big Switch”

“The internet is not magical; it will be utterly over-managed by commercial concerns, hobbled with ’security’ micromanagement, and turned into money-shaped traffic for business, the rest 90% paid-for content download and the rest of the bandwidth used for market feedback.”

Tom Jennings, University of California-Irvine, creator of FidoNet and builder of Wired magazine’s first online site.

“There will be ’subvocal’ inputs that detect ‘almost speech’ that you will, but do not actually voice. Small sensors on teeth will also let you tap commands. Your eyeballs will track desires, sensed by your eyeglasses. And so on.”

David Brin, futurist and author of “The Transparent Society”

The quotes above come in Future of the Internet III: How the Experts See It, a new Pew Internet & American Life Project study in which 578 online activists, builders and commentators discuss the impacts networked technologies may have on world societies by 2020, with an additional 618 stakeholders also participating, says the company, describing itself as a, “nonpartisan ‘fact tank’.”

Key findings about technology and its roles in the year 2020:

  • The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the internet for most people in the world in 2020.
  • The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity, social tolerance, or forgiveness.
    Voice recognition and touch user-interfaces with the internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020.
  • Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing “arms race,” with the “crackers” who will find ways to copy and share content without payment.
  • The divisions between personal time and work time and between physical and virtual reality will be further erased for everyone who is connected, and the results will be mixed in their impact on basic social relations.
  • “Next-generation” engineering of the network to improve the current internet architecture is more likely than an effort to rebuild the architecture from scratch.

It all looks very exciting but, “A strong undercurrent of anxiety runs through these experts’ answers,” says Pew.

“They [the experts] are quite sure the internet and cell phones will continue to advance at an amazing clip, but they are not at all sure people will make the same kind of progress as they embrace better, faster, and cheaper gadgets.

“”The picture they paint of the future is that technology will give people the power to be stronger actors in the political and economic world, but that won’t necessarily make it a kinder, gentler world.

“In light of the continuing tension between security and privacy issues, the experts emphasize the importance of enhanced and enlightened cooperation between the leaders involved in decisions about internet architecture and policy.”

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3 Responses to “The Net, year 2020”

  1. Reader's Write Says:

    While only a few elite hold the power of decision making, the internet will be subject to the whims of big business. All law changes with regard to liberties should be put forward for public consultation and approval. In addition, proposed changes should not only come from positions of power which are susceptible to corruption, but instead should originate from scholars and experts in the field who have the knowledge, experience, and insight to make the right choices for humanity, rather than the ambitions of copyright lobbyists and other groups with vested interests.

  2. Eric Says:

    2020: Either a) No resources, lots of dead people, b) World descent into political and socio-economic chaos, or c) Some other catastrophe does a lot of damage.

    No Net.

  3. free1 Says:

    We are already in this process of major negative and it’s about to get much worse if we let the supposed leaders have their way. The fight between tyranny and some form of righteousness and our rightful purpose on Earth is just heating up. To boot there’s a catastrophe on the way likes of which this Earth has not seem in 1,000’s of yrs. It’s due to frequencies.

    The earth is slowing down in it’s rotation while universal frequency / vibration is speeding up. This causes the earth to warm up as pressures increase. Just like trying to stop a swinging bucket of water quickly. Magnetic poles may shift as a result. It happens every 12,500 or so yrs. Sumerians, Maya and others were pretty smart, they put it in stone and clay tablets for us to heed. It’s up to us to learn, understand and prepare … or not. I’m no preacher, do what you want.

    It is the main reason why all original calendars run out or stop at our calendar’s date of Dec. 21, 2012. This stop of earth will last anywhere from a day to few yrs. For those who survive it will be a new age and hopefully with new rightful system.

    The question should be “Will there be an internet afterwards?”

    For those who believe in aliens, they are here to get us off the planet, if we wish, for the duration of this time. That’s the biggest secret of our supposed ruling class and monarchy. We are made to believe by them that old records lie or they are myths when there’s overwhelming evidence that they are true.

    Some of them rather build underground cities and hide there, while others build ships big enough to take them and all their possessions. These monarchs have mostly been rejected by aliens due to their tyrannical practices.

    A few million ppl have been stocking up and living off the grid in various places mainly afraid of NWO. They just maybe right in hiding out as not all places will get hit harshly.

    When regular building contractors started coming up to me on continuous basis asking for plans of how to live off the grid, free energy propulsion systems, survival tactics, etc. i know something is up. That was 18 yrs ago.

    So start your own internet or local WiFi and hopefully tie it to others ;)

    Enjoy

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