Yesterday, Sweden’s IPRED. So?
p2pnet news view Freedom | P2P:- Yesterday, the IPRED law, which demands ISPs reveal subscribers’ IP addresses to copyright holders when a court finds sufficient evidence of alleged illegal activity, went into effect in Sweden.
And Internet traffic in Sweden plunged 30%.
File sharing in the USA is outlawed, thanks to the Digital Millenium Copyright Act (DMCA).
Yet in the US, last night between 10:00 pm and 12 pm east coast time there some 38.7 million (visible) people were sharing about 4.3 Terrabytes of data, and transferring approximately 300 megabytes per user.
Just how much data is that in terms of total backbone traffic?
11610000000 megabytes (MB)
11337890.62500 gigabytes (GB)
11072.158813 terabytes (TB) or 16,196,000.
And please remember — this is over a two hour time period with half of the east coast of the US already in bed asleep.
Will the legislation make any difference to the Swedes ?
I doubt it, especially when the latest offering from the Pirate Bay is IPREdator offering total anonymity, total invisibility (and obviously total immunity to prosecution) for the lowly sum of only five euros per month.
There have been various attempts at measuring Internet Growth and P2P traffic as a component of Internet Growth yet as far as I’m aware, no one has yet done a chart of the two together.
We thought we’d have a go.
Assuming everyone in the world wants to be impervious to prosecution (sign-up here), we can calculate five Euros per month times 23 million peers. I make that around $(USD)200,000,000 estimated revenue for The Pirate Bay boys next year.
And that’s not payment for content: it’s payment for the ‘mechanism of delivery,’ and the US Supreme court has found a mechanism in itself if capable of being used for legal activities as well as illegal, is not a breach of the DMCA.
Let’s think about that.
The Pirate Bay has developed an intensely loyal following.
Past efforts at de-knackering it have proved fruitless,
Their revenue from the new delivery model will challenge Apple iPods within two years and shut down iTunes within five.
Isn’t it time the industry offered to buy TPB or at the very least, learn to work with them?
Haven’t they figured out every push actually costs them more ?
I like watching new movies and would like to make sure that Hollywood can afford to keep on making them.
So, whilst I disagree with some of their modus operandi tactics, haven`t they learned yet that sometimes a leopard just has to scrub off its spots, no matter how much face it loses — before everyone VANISHES ?
References
Andrew Odlyzko; Measurements and Mismeasurements and the Dynamics of Data Traffic Growth (2002) http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/talks/cmg-mismeasurements.ppt
Stephen McClelland; International backbone traffic growth ‘nigh unstoppable’ http://www.telecommagazine.com/newsglobe/Print.asp?Id=AR_3861 14/Jan/2008
*Bin Fan anors; Stochastic Differential Equation Approach to Model BitTorrent-like P2P Systems
Dept. of Computer Science & Eng. The Chinese University of Hong Kong http://www.cse.cuhk.edu.hk/~cslui/PUBLICATION/ICC_2006.pdf
International Telecommunications Union Measuring the Information Society. The ICT Development Index 2009 http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/publications/idi/2009/material/IDI2009_w5.pdf
Colin Richardson Australia’s Peak Demand for Internet Bandwidth http://www.latrobe.edu.au/teloz/reports/richardson.pdf
Whirlpool Internet Stats 2003-2008
Perceptric Pty. Ltd. Corporate Data – Internet Statistical Analysis
Tom Koltai – p2pnet
[Koltai is an economist in Sydney Australia. He's says he's been online for 26 years, has run several ISPs and, "lobbied governments in four countries to prevent Internet restrictive usage legislation from being enacted". He says he's a strong believer in P2P, "as being a technological requirement to fully exploit the convergence of telephony with computers and remove the last barriers to human communication and interaction".]
April, 2009
Use free p2pnet newsfeeds for your site. It`s really easy!
Subscribe to p2pnet.net | | rss feed: http://p2pnet.net/p2p.rss | | Mobile – http://p2pnet.net/index-wml.php
Net access blocked by government restrictions? Use Psiphon from the Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto. Go here for details.
restrictions? Use Psiphon from the Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto. Go here for details.
April 3rd, 2009 at 11:18 am
16 thousand movies? Assuming each is 700MB, which is roughly what a standard CD can hold, 11072TB is more like 16.5 million movies.
April 3rd, 2009 at 3:02 pm
@Fnord:
Movies are often compressed to a 700MB video file, but the actual DVD version (with menus, etc.) is typically 3GB – 5GB.
April 4th, 2009 at 9:07 am
I know it, you know it…… Do we really want everyone to know it ?
Typo guys…..
April 4th, 2009 at 8:59 pm
Why would you want fast broadband for? surfing and checking e-mails, these people will never get with the program.