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The ‘Third of All Traffic’ BT myth

p2pnet.net News View:- In November 2004 several respectable sources were reporting that BitTorrent was responsible for 35% of all internet traffic. This impressive statistic inspired pirates, frightened ISP’s, and motivated the MPAA and other anti-piracy organizations to take down BitTorrent trackers.

Today, almost two years later, people are still quoting the “one third” statistic. But the question is: should they?

There is no reason to believe BitTorrent traffic has decreased. On the contrary, today, there are at least three popular BitTorrent sites among the 1000 most popular sites on the internet, and even more are in line to enter.

But on the other hand, there are more p2p networks that continue to grow, and new video streaming sites, that cause a lot of traffic. So is it fair to say BitTorrent is still responsible for 35% of all internet traffic?

Let’s start of with the original study that reported that BitTorrent was causing that much traffic.

The famous study by Cachelogic reports the following (June 2004):

# About 62% of all Internet traffic is p2p related
# 53% of all p2p traffic is Bittorrent traffic

This indeed means that BitTorrent accounted for 33% of all internet traffic in the first half of 2004.

However, there is some geographical variation.

# In Europe 16% is BitTorrent related
# In the UK 22%
# In the US 33%
# In Asia 65%

Now let’s compare these data with a more recent study by Cachelogic (January 2006):

This study reports that p2p traffic continued to grow, even relative to the other internet traffic. Januari 2006 p2p traffic acounted for approximately 71% of all internet traffic.

However, the same study shows that the marketshare of BitTorrent decreased. It seems that the eDonkey network took over the lead in most countries.

If we take a look at the US for example, we see BitTorrent accounts for about 30% of all p2p traffic. If we assume 71% of all internet traffic is p2p related, “only” 21% would be caused by BitTorrent. On the other hand, more than 35% of all internet traffic in the US is generated by the eDonkey network.

This means eDonkey is generating significantly more traffic than BitTorrent.

This is quite surprising.

In general, most people believe that Bittorrent is bigger than eDonkey. For example, the respectable filesharing news site Slyck reported this week:

Although BitTorrent would soon become the largest file-sharing network in terms of bandwidth consumption, eDonkey2000 never faded away.

However, it seems that eDonkey is generating more traffic than BitTorrent in most countries. Take the p2p market-share in China, Taiwan, and South-Korea for example, three countries with the most broadband subscribers apart form the US.

China: 50% BitTorrent / 50% eDonkey
Taiwan: 41% BitTorrent / 57% eDonkey
South Korea: 5% BitTorrent / 92% eDonkey

In Conclusion

The latest p2p traffic analysis by Cachelogic doesn’t give a definite answer to the question how much percent of all internet traffic is generated by BitTorrent. It is unlikely that it is as high as it was in 2004. To reach 35% mark, BitTorrent should be at least responsible for 50% of the p2p traffic, and it isn’t.

My guess, based on the p2p traffic graph, would be that BitTorrent is responsible for approximately 35%, eDonkey for 45%, and other networks for 20% of the p2p traffic.

This would mean BitTorrent accounts for 25% of all internet traffic, and eDonkey for 32%.

However, this analysis is based on data gathered in 2005, so it is likely that the percentages are totally different today. Not only the market share of the different p2p networks, but also the rise of video-streaming may affect these statistics. Youtube, for example, indexes over 45 terabytes of video.

“One third of all Internet traffic” might still be very close to reality, but we should use this catchy phrase with caution, and be aware of regional variation.

Torrentfreak - The Netherlands

Also See:
about to foist - RealNetworks, SanDisk deal, September 18, 2006
dubbed it - Apple and its C.R.A.P., March 4, 2006


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5 Responses to “The ‘Third of All Traffic’ BT myth”

  1. Reader's Write Says:

    Considering that CacheLogic sells “Routing and caching appliances focused on reducing the burden of P2P traffic” to ISPs, taking their data seriously seems a little misapplied. The data comes from PowerPoint presentations used to sell their products. The methodology of their “study” and the resulting data is not independantly verifiable. In a follow up email after a telephone interview with Mike Godwin, legal council for the EFF, Andrew Parker of CacheLogic stated: “Despite not feeling that our reports have been verified by 3rd parties. I would suggest that your statement surrounding ‘figures taken from marketing literature’ to be stretching the truth somewhat. I said I would not argue that the numbers had not been verified and would not constitute an academic weight study, and as such I would not present it as a complete study of P2P activity on a global basis. The figures presented are not marketing waffle and our ISPs would not participate if they felt this was a) a marketing exercise or b) that the data was inaccurate.”

    link: http://www.godwinslaw.org/weblog/archive/2005/04/29/my-interview-with-cachelogic

    I am not anonymous, I am Kent of http://k364.info

  2. Reader's Write Says:

    This is the most bullshit statistic if I ever did see one.

    Spam, worms, trojans, botnets, ddos attacks and all the useless related crap that Windows boxes love spewing out is what takes up the most bandwidth on the internet. At least half.

    Screw them and their false statistics.

    PS, how the heck does one tell the difference between zeros and O’s on captchas?

  3. Reader's Write Says:

    Hey Spike:

    I hope to eliminate the verification system within the next few days. It’s taken me three shots to post this.

    Cheers!

  4. Reader's Write Says:

    Heya.

    A decent spam filter would do the trick.

  5. Reader's Write Says:

    Thankfully its not near as bad now, clicking submit doesn’t make me lose my message if I screw up the captcha. :P

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